Group stage · 11 to 27 June 2026

World Cup 2026 groups: the full draw and every group match

Twelve groups, four teams each, 72 matches. Below is the draw as it stood, and next to every fixture the probability split the betting market had settled on before it was played.

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The draw, groups A to L

Group A

Czech Republic
Mexico
South Africa
South Korea

Group B

Bosnia & Herzegovina
Canada
Qatar
Switzerland

Group C

Brazil
Haiti
Morocco
Scotland

Group D

Australia
Paraguay
Turkey
USA

Group E

Curaçao
Ecuador
Germany
Ivory Coast

Group F

Japan
Netherlands
Sweden
Tunisia

Group G

Belgium
Egypt
Iran
New Zealand

Group H

Cape Verde
Saudi Arabia
Spain
Uruguay

Group I

France
Iraq
Norway
Senegal

Group J

Algeria
Argentina
Austria
Jordan

Group K

Colombia
DR Congo
Portugal
Uzbekistan

Group L

Croatia
England
Ghana
Panama

How the group stage worked

Forty-eight teams were split into twelve groups of four. Each team played the other three in its group once, so every group produced six matches and every team played three.

The qualification rule is the part that surprises people who remember earlier tournaments. The top two of each group advanced, which is twenty-four teams, and then the eight best third-placed teams were added on top. That is thirty-two survivors out of forty-eight, so two thirds of the field came through. A third place was often enough, which changed how much a single bad result actually cost.

Ranking inside a group went by points first, then goal difference, then goals scored. That is also the order the tournament simulation uses when it plays the draw out ten thousand times, and it is why goal difference carries real weight in a three match group: with so few matches, one heavy win can outrank a whole extra point.

What the percentages mean

Each row shows the fair chance of a home win, a draw and an away win, taken from the odds several bookmakers published and cleaned of the bookmaker margin. They are not predictions of a single result and they are not advice to place a bet. The method is set out in turning odds into probability.

The last two columns are goal markets. Over 2.5 is the chance the match finished with three or more goals in total, BTTS is the chance both teams scored at least once. Both are explained in goal markets explained.

Reading the bar: home windrawaway winPercentages are the fair market consensus after the bookmaker margin is removed.

Every group match, group by group

Group A

Czech Republic, Mexico, South Africa, South Korea

All six Group A matches, market consensus before kick-off.
Match	Home	Draw	Away	Likeliest score	Over 2.5	BTTS
Mexico v South Africa11 Jun, 19:00 UTC	88.7%	11.1%	0.2%	2:0 26.1%	39.5%	2.3%
South Korea v Czech Republic12 Jun, 02:00 UTC	80.7%	16.6%	2.7%	2:0 21.9%	38.4%	16.8%
Czech Republic v South Africa18 Jun, 16:00 UTC	52.1%	27.4%	20.4%	1:1 12.9%	44.1%	47.3%
Mexico v South Korea19 Jun, 01:00 UTC	46.1%	28.8%	25.1%	1:1 13.6%	43.1%	48.5%
Czech Republic v Mexico25 Jun, 01:00 UTC	25.6%	27.6%	46.8%	1:1 13.2%	47.8%	52.2%
South Africa v South Korea25 Jun, 01:00 UTC	16%	24.9%	59.2%	0:1 12.6%	47.4%	46.8%

Group B

Bosnia & Herzegovina, Canada, Qatar, Switzerland

All six Group B matches, market consensus before kick-off.
Match	Home	Draw	Away	Likeliest score	Over 2.5	BTTS
Canada v Bosnia & Herzegovina12 Jun, 19:02 UTC	25.4%	27.7%	46.9%	1:1 13.2%	47.3%	51.7%
Qatar v Switzerland13 Jun, 19:04 UTC	2.4%	12.9%	84.6%	0:2 20.2%	49.3%	21.2%
Switzerland v Bosnia & Herzegovina18 Jun, 19:00 UTC	61.5%	23.8%	14.7%	1:0 12.3%	49.2%	47%
Canada v Qatar18 Jun, 22:00 UTC	73.8%	17.9%	8.2%	2:0 14%	55.9%	43.2%
Bosnia & Herzegovina v Qatar24 Jun, 19:00 UTC	70.2%	18.8%	10.9%	2:0 11.7%	60.4%	50.9%
Switzerland v Canada24 Jun, 19:00 UTC	39.5%	29.1%	31.5%	1:1 13.8%	45.1%	51.3%

Group C

Brazil, Haiti, Morocco, Scotland

All six Group C matches, market consensus before kick-off.
Match	Home	Draw	Away	Likeliest score	Over 2.5	BTTS
Brazil v Morocco13 Jun, 22:00 UTC	57.6%	25.9%	16.5%	1:0 13.4%	44.6%	45.1%
Haiti v Scotland14 Jun, 01:00 UTC	16%	22.1%	61.9%	1:1 10.4%	58.1%	54.7%
Scotland v Morocco19 Jun, 22:00 UTC	16.1%	26.2%	57.7%	0:1 14.1%	42.7%	43.4%
Brazil v Haiti20 Jun, 00:30 UTC	86.5%	10%	3.5%	3:0 12.7%	71.4%	41.7%
Scotland v Brazil24 Jun, 22:00 UTC	9.7%	19.7%	70.5%	0:2 13.7%	53.3%	44%
Morocco v Haiti24 Jun, 22:00 UTC	81.7%	13.5%	4.9%	2:0 14.6%	61.4%	38.9%

Group D

Australia, Paraguay, Turkey, USA

All six Group D matches, market consensus before kick-off.
Match	Home	Draw	Away	Likeliest score	Over 2.5	BTTS
USA v Paraguay13 Jun, 01:00 UTC	45.8%	30%	24.2%	1:1 13.9%	38.8%	44.9%
Australia v Turkey14 Jun, 04:00 UTC	18%	25.8%	56.2%	0:1 12.3%	46.8%	47.8%
USA v Australia19 Jun, 19:00 UTC	92%	7.6%	0.4%	2:0 22.5%	53.2%	7%
Turkey v Paraguay20 Jun, 03:00 UTC	24.3%	25%	50.7%	1:1 11.7%	57%	58.6%
Paraguay v Australia26 Jun, 02:00 UTC	33%	33.2%	33.8%	0:0 14.8%	31.9%	40.7%
Turkey v USA26 Jun, 02:00 UTC	26.7%	25.8%	47.4%	1:1 12.2%	55.4%	58.2%

Group E

Curaçao, Ecuador, Germany, Ivory Coast

All six Group E matches, market consensus before kick-off.
Match	Home	Draw	Away	Likeliest score	Over 2.5	BTTS
Germany v Curaçao14 Jun, 17:00 UTC	92.6%	5.8%	1.6%	3:0 13.1%	79.2%	36.6%
Ivory Coast v Ecuador14 Jun, 23:00 UTC	29.6%	32.8%	37.6%	1:1 14.5%	32.5%	41%
Germany v Ivory Coast20 Jun, 20:00 UTC	66.8%	20.2%	13.1%	2:0 11%	59.9%	53.2%
Ecuador v Curaçao21 Jun, 00:00 UTC	84.7%	11.8%	3.5%	2:0 15.7%	61.3%	33.6%
Curaçao v Ivory Coast25 Jun, 20:00 UTC	5.2%	13.6%	81.2%	0:2 13.9%	62.9%	41%
Ecuador v Germany25 Jun, 20:00 UTC	24.7%	25.7%	49.6%	1:1 12.1%	54.6%	56.9%

Group F

Japan, Netherlands, Sweden, Tunisia

All six Group F matches, market consensus before kick-off.
Match	Home	Draw	Away	Likeliest score	Over 2.5	BTTS
Netherlands v Japan14 Jun, 20:00 UTC	46.5%	27.9%	25.6%	1:1 13.3%	46.9%	51.5%
Sweden v Tunisia15 Jun, 02:00 UTC	49.4%	28.1%	22.6%	1:1 13.3%	43.9%	48.2%
Netherlands v Sweden20 Jun, 17:00 UTC	56.1%	23.6%	20.4%	1:1 11%	58.6%	57.9%
Tunisia v Japan21 Jun, 04:00 UTC	12.3%	23.1%	64.6%	0:1 13.7%	47%	43%
Japan v Sweden25 Jun, 23:00 UTC	50.6%	25.5%	23.9%	1:1 12.1%	54.5%	56.6%
Tunisia v Netherlands25 Jun, 23:00 UTC	4.2%	12.1%	83.7%	0:2 14.1%	64.6%	39%

Group G

Belgium, Egypt, Iran, New Zealand

All six Group G matches, market consensus before kick-off.
Match	Home	Draw	Away	Likeliest score	Over 2.5	BTTS
Belgium v Egypt15 Jun, 19:00 UTC	16.8%	33.2%	50%	0:1 19.8%	25.1%	30.5%
Iran v New Zealand16 Jun, 01:00 UTC	53.8%	28%	18.3%	1:0 14.4%	40%	43%
Belgium v Iran21 Jun, 19:00 UTC	57.9%	25.6%	16.6%	1:0 13%	45.8%	46.1%
New Zealand v Egypt22 Jun, 01:00 UTC	15.7%	24.9%	59.4%	0:1 12.9%	46.7%	46%
New Zealand v Belgium27 Jun, 03:00 UTC	6.9%	12.5%	80.6%	0:3 9.4%	75.8%	56.1%
Egypt v Iran27 Jun, 03:00 UTC	36.9%	32.7%	30.4%	1:1 14.6%	33.1%	41.6%

Group H

Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, Spain, Uruguay

All six Group H matches, market consensus before kick-off.
Match	Home	Draw	Away	Likeliest score	Over 2.5	BTTS
Spain v Cape Verde15 Jun, 16:00 UTC	89.7%	8.1%	2.3%	3:0 14.2%	71.8%	35.1%
Saudi Arabia v Uruguay15 Jun, 22:00 UTC	11.5%	23%	65.5%	0:1 14.4%	45.6%	41%
Spain v Saudi Arabia21 Jun, 16:00 UTC	87.7%	9.3%	3%	3:0 13.6%	70.6%	38.1%
Uruguay v Cape Verde21 Jun, 22:00 UTC	67.6%	22.7%	9.7%	1:0 16.1%	42.7%	36.5%
Cape Verde v Saudi Arabia27 Jun, 00:00 UTC	39.2%	28.6%	32.3%	1:1 13.6%	47.1%	52.9%
Uruguay v Spain27 Jun, 00:00 UTC	13.8%	22.7%	63.5%	0:2 12.2%	51.4%	47.8%

Group I

France, Iraq, Norway, Senegal

All six Group I matches, market consensus before kick-off.
Match	Home	Draw	Away	Likeliest score	Over 2.5	BTTS
France v Senegal16 Jun, 19:02 UTC	89.6%	10.2%	0.2%	2:0 25.8%	41.6%	2.3%
Iraq v Norway16 Jun, 22:00 UTC	7%	16.2%	76.9%	0:2 14%	58.8%	42.6%
France v Iraq22 Jun, 21:00 UTC	89.3%	8.3%	2.4%	3:0 14.1%	71.4%	35.6%
Norway v Senegal23 Jun, 00:00 UTC	41.3%	27.8%	30.9%	1:1 13.3%	49.8%	54.8%
Norway v France26 Jun, 19:00 UTC	20.4%	24%	55.6%	1:1 11.3%	56.8%	56.7%
Senegal v Iraq26 Jun, 19:00 UTC	77.9%	15.3%	6.8%	2:0 13.2%	62.2%	44.8%

Group J

Algeria, Argentina, Austria, Jordan

All six Group J matches, market consensus before kick-off.
Match	Home	Draw	Away	Likeliest score	Over 2.5	BTTS
Argentina v Algeria17 Jun, 01:00 UTC	66.8%	21.9%	11.3%	2:0 13.7%	49%	43.1%
Austria v Jordan17 Jun, 04:00 UTC	68.9%	20.8%	10.3%	2:0 14%	50.6%	42.8%
Argentina v Austria22 Jun, 17:00 UTC	66%	22.1%	11.9%	2:0 13.3%	49.8%	44.5%
Jordan v Algeria23 Jun, 03:00 UTC	13.6%	25.3%	61.1%	0:1 15.1%	41.9%	40.6%
Algeria v Austria28 Jun, 02:00 UTC	26.8%	33.6%	39.6%	0:0 16.1%	29.6%	38.1%
Jordan v Argentina28 Jun, 02:00 UTC	4.7%	12.9%	82.4%	0:2 14.1%	63.3%	39.8%

Group K

Colombia, DR Congo, Portugal, Uzbekistan

All six Group K matches, market consensus before kick-off.
Match	Home	Draw	Away	Likeliest score	Over 2.5	BTTS
Portugal v DR Congo17 Jun, 17:00 UTC	75%	17.7%	7.3%	2:0 15.1%	53.4%	39.6%
Uzbekistan v Colombia18 Jun, 02:00 UTC	10.1%	20.9%	69%	0:2 14.1%	50%	42.2%
Portugal v Uzbekistan23 Jun, 17:00 UTC	83.9%	11.9%	4.1%	2:0 14.1%	64.7%	38.8%
Colombia v DR Congo24 Jun, 02:00 UTC	62.1%	24.5%	13.4%	1:0 14.3%	44.4%	42.3%
Colombia v Portugal27 Jun, 23:30 UTC	28.3%	26.2%	45.5%	1:1 12.4%	54.8%	58.2%
DR Congo v Uzbekistan27 Jun, 23:30 UTC	56.3%	26.5%	17.2%	1:0 13.6%	43.5%	44.9%

Group L

Croatia, England, Ghana, Panama

All six Group L matches, market consensus before kick-off.
Match	Home	Draw	Away	Likeliest score	Over 2.5	BTTS
England v Croatia17 Jun, 20:00 UTC	59.1%	24.8%	16.2%	1:0 12.4%	48%	47.4%
Ghana v Panama17 Jun, 23:00 UTC	40.8%	30.2%	29%	1:1 14.2%	40.5%	47.4%
England v Ghana23 Jun, 20:00 UTC	80.6%	14.2%	5.2%	2:0 14.9%	59.7%	38.7%
Panama v Croatia23 Jun, 23:00 UTC	12.4%	20.6%	66.9%	0:2 11.9%	56.7%	50.1%
Croatia v Ghana27 Jun, 21:00 UTC	52.9%	28.3%	18.7%	1:0 14.5%	39.3%	42.8%
Panama v England27 Jun, 21:00 UTC	5.4%	12.5%	82.1%	0:2 11.9%	69%	46.4%

Where to go next

The knockout bracketWhat the thirty-two survivors did next, from the round of 32 to the final on 19 July. Title probabilitiesAll 48 teams ranked by a ten thousand run simulation, taken before the opening match. Prediction pool guideHow to turn a probability split into a scoreline you actually enter.